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The Donk is Not Wrong
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The Commish
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November, 09 2007
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| Well, well, well, I guess it happens to the best of us -- or in the Donk's case, the worst. As they say, every now and then even a blind squirrel stumbles upon an acorn. And the Donk is no exception. Despite the brilliance of the Donk's inability to pick winners consistently, for Week #9, the rarest of happenings occurred. The perfect storm of prognostication rolled in off the shores of football nirvana, and dumped on those counting on the Donk's futility. The Donk had a winning week with his original picks! Yes, you heard it right... The Donk picked the games correctly. |
Editors' Note: With NFL fever taking over the country, we decided to bring you weekly notes from one of our readers -- the Commish. He's a Bay Area native, and a lifelong Oakland Raiders fan. As you might gather after reading this article, he spends a lot of his time in Las Vegas and Tahoe.
Well, well, well, I guess it happens to the best of us -- or in the Donk's case, the worst. As they say, every now and then even a blind squirrel stumbles upon an acorn. And the Donk is no exception. Despite the brilliance of the Donk's inability to pick winners consistently, for Week #9, the rarest of happenings occurred. The perfect storm of prognostication rolled in off the shores of football nirvana, and dumped on those counting on the Donk's futility. The Donk had a winning week with his original picks! Yes, you heard it right... The Donk picked the games correctly.
How did that happen? The first cloud formation in this storm was the schedule -- some strong teams playing some very weak teams. The second and deadlier storm clouds took shape when favorites won and the trend for the Donk has been to pick favorites consistently. With the combination of the two, it was inevitable that the Donk could actually be right -- and he was... in fact, he was so right that he actually had a winning record on his season-long money maker BET THE HOUSE (BTH) picks. He correctly tagged CLEVELAND and PITTSBURGH to cover AND they DID. Only a half point loss by Washington to the Jets prevented his perfect record for the week in BTH. The BTH record for the season now stands at 10 - 20 for a 33% win clip, but a powerful 66% loss clip. So, is it possible that the Donk is back? Has he figured out the NFL? Will now begin a streak of winning prognostication? After 30 years? NO! Let's not get carried away, fans. A Donk is a Donk will be a Donk till the Donk ain't no more!!!
So, with that understanding, let's see what the Donk has in store for us in week #9. Let's start of with the BET THE HOUSE picks. With a 66% loss rate on these, the Donk is outperforming the best prognosticators in the land.
TENNESSEE is tough, tough, tough at home, and is starting to get on a roll. Vince Young is playing well again, although that is a nagging injury of the hamstring. On the other side, Jacksonville is not playing its best football of the season. They're starting to feel a bit of the gag syndrome after their earlier success. Vince Young at home should dominate the tough Jacksonville defense. TENNESSEE to cover the -4. BET THE HOUSE.
Then we move to CINCINNATI getting 4 points from Baltimore. Has anyone seen the Baltimore offense? If you have, better get it to them as they've lost it -- the only worst offense in the league is the SF 49ers, and they stink! Baltimore will not be able to keep up with the number of point Cincinnati puts up. This is going to be a massacre by Cincinnati in the Ravens crib. Take CINCINNATI, take the +4 and take a cab to the bank to deposit your winnings.
And finally, BUFFALO is really starting to figure out how to win. They are playing some tough teams and coming home winners. They now get a cakewalk in Miami --Miami is still WINLESS. And the spread is only 3 points... why? Buffalo should be favored by 10 over hapless Miami. Take BUFFALO to stifle the Miami Lemon-ade server and bring home a road victory with ease. BUFFALO -3 is the last BET THE HOUSE pick.
But remember, the winning play is always...OPPOSITE the Donk, except for last week -- a rarity in prognostication rankings. And just for kicks, here are the rest of the DONK's week #10 picks:
* Cleveland +9.5........almost a BTH pick bonus
* Minnesota +6
* Washington -3
* Atlanta +4
* KC -3
* St. Louis +11.5
* Oakland +3.5
* Dallas -1.5
* Arizona -1
* Indianapolis -3.5
* Seattle -10
Good luck to all as you settle in for the midway point of the season, and congrats to those who go OPPOSITE the Donk......... |
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